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How America will collapse (by 2025)

Salon.com has an interesting article by Prof. Alfred McCoy at University of Wisconsin-Madison. Titled, How America will collapse (by 2025), Prof. McCoy asserts the the decline of American empire has begun. While I largely agree that America is on inevitable decline, it is rather difficult to ascertain that decline will be as swift as it is predicted. Among many variables, one problem with projected rise of China as a major super power, discounts the fact that Chinese leadership will face equally challenging times. As the middle class population increases with significant economic power, it is likely that there will be pressure for more open and democratic norms in China. A failure to manage the political aspiration could lead China off the track from becoming the single most powerful country in the world. In addition, any weakening of Chinese State is definitely likely to invite simmering discontent among Tibetans and Ughuirs to the fore and create a huge challenge for Chinese authorities.

The American decline definitely is in progress but decline is most likely be replaced by a more than one country and we might see multi-power world, with China, India, Russia, Brazil, US, and Europe having considerable power within each block.

The alliance of these nations and regions is most likely tilt the favor in one or the other way in a broader global domination chess game.

The most scarier perspective, however, is the rise of multinational corporations as a super power. Given that they actually control or have significant influence over all current States and the rising disparity between rich and poor around the world, their control is in place. Now, the question is whether this indirect control will lead into more direct control, through influence over military and technology.



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मधेस अान्दोलन मुद्दा: - के जनसंख्या मात्रको अाधारमा प्रतिनिधित्व ठिक हो?

मधेश अान्दोलनमा सहभागि अान्दोलनरत दल, समर्थक विचार निर्माताहरु, सहभागिहरुले नयंा संविधान  मधेस विरोधि भयो भनेर उ्ठाइएका विभिन्न मुद्दा मध्ये नयां संविधानमा जनसंख्याको अाधारमा प्रतिनिधित्व भएन भन्ने पनि छ। अधिवक्ता दिपेन्द्र झा ले लेख्नु भएका विभिन्न लेख र फेसबुक पोस्टहरु मा, "धारा ८४(१)(क)प्रतिनिधिसभाको प्रत्यक्ष तर्फ रहेका १६५ सिटको लागि जनसंख्याको आधारमा निर्वाचन क्षेत्र कायम गर्ने प्रावधान राख्नु पर्छ । हाल भूगोल र जनसंख्याको आधारमा राखिएको छ । बरु कर्णाली, मनाङ जस्ता भौगोलिक विकटता भएको क्षेत्रको लागि विशेष प्रावधान राख्न सकिन्छ ।‍ " यो मुद्दा प्रमुख रुपमा उ्ठाईको देखिन्छ । 

सामान्यतया प्रजातान्त्रिक व्यवस्थाहरुमा, जनसंख्या नै प्रतिनिधित्वको मुल अाधार हो । एक व्यक्ति, एक भोट र त्यसैको अाधारमा हुने प्रतिनिधित्वको व्यवस्था । यसअर्थमा मधेसबाट उ्ठाईको मुद्दा ठिक लागे पनि, नेपाल जस्तो भौगोलिक  जटिलता र दुर्गमता भएको जिल्ला भएको देशको लागि एकांकि ढंगले सोच्नु कत्तिको सार्थक छ?  नेपालको परिवेशमा जनसंख्यलाई मात्र हैन, भुगोललाई पनि प्रतिनिधित्वको हुनु पर्ने अाधार देखि्न्छ । 


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